Abstract
This paper analyzes the
monetary history of Israel in the framework of the concepts of fiscal dominance
(FD) and monetary dominance (MD), which appeared in the recent macroeconomic
models. It is shown that the
inflationary period in Israel (1973-85) had distinct features of FD while the
periods before and after the foregoing period can be characterized as belonging
to a regime of MD. In this analysis we
draw a distinction between solvencey of the public sector (which is based on
the discounted public debt) and sustainability (which is based on the
undiscounted debt). We also extend the
concept of the Pigou effect to cover the price shocks that followed balance of
payments crises. We claim that in the
absence of a nominal anchor (which characterizes FD), these shocks entail
increases in the inflation plateau.
After the stabilization of 1985 (and especially in the nineties) the
economic regime changed to MD, being based on a sustainable path of the public
debt and on an inflation target regime.
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